Oregon Ducks Senior QB Betting Big on Himself

By Steve Lee

With 300 some odd days between now and the 2020 NFL Draft, there are a lot of things that could happen before the draftees take to the stage in Las Vegas. No sooner had Kyler Murray heard his name being called, armchair quarterbacks had started to talk about the next wave of players to potentially declare their names for the 2020 class.

Stock will rise and fall during the college season and dark horse diamond in the rough late round picks will be born during the combine. Meanwhile teams (and fans) will be willing to bet the future of their franchise on a young soon to be star.

It is almost a guaranteed bet that Tua Tagovailoa will be selected first overall next summer, most likely by the Miami Dolphins. Though, their acquisition of Josh Rosen could throw a monkey wrench into that plan, which may then find them adding Jerry Jeudy to their roster instead. Regardless of whether or not Tagovailoa ends taking his talents to South Beach, most early draft boards have Alabama’s junior being the first quarterback selected. The question is, who is number two?

After deciding to return to college for his senior season, a move that surprised many, Oregon’s Justin Herbert is most likely the second best option for teams looking to add a field general to their lineup. One of the reasons why Herbert is most likely to slip to the second QB selected is based on his team’s success.

Even though the 6’6”, 225lber has the size and athletic ability to be the best in his draft class, the fact that Alabama and Tagovailoa appeared in back to back NCAA Championship Games and the Hawaiian was named the Offensive MVP in his freshman season leans in favor of third year quarterback.

Unfortunately, some NFL GM’s and coaches might not see past the winning and ignore the fact that the Crimson Tide is a better team than the Ducks, despite Oregon being a pre-season top ten ranked team that is returning seventeen starters from last season.  However, by potentially being the second QB selected, the pressure is off Herbert to come in and have immediate success with whichever team drafts him.

There are a number of experts who compare Herbert to Philadelphia Eagles fourth year star quarterback Carson Wentz, who was the second thrower drafted from the 2016 crop of rookies. Others feel there are a lot of similarities between the skill set of Herbert and Tennessee Titans QB Marcus Mariota, just with a bigger frame.

Whether Herbert is in the pocket or on the run, he has the ability to make game changing decisions on the fly, something that will excite the fan base of whichever team is fortunate enough to draft him. While he may have been draft ready last season, the additional year in college has made him be into America’s line NFL, ready sooner than later.

Had the Ducks quarterback entered into the 2019 draft, odds are that he still may have been the second QB selected – since the Arizona Cardinals newest star was the heavy favorite to hear his name being called first by Roger Goodell. Would Herbert have been a better selection for the New York Giants than Daniel Jones?

That’s a tough question to answer, but the pressures of playing in the Big Apple and eventually replacing Eli Manning may be too much to place on a small-town kid from Eugene, Oregon. Although it is far to early to determine who will be drafting where next year, analytics and the fact that they just aren’t very good leans towards the Bengals, Lions and Redskins all potentially searching for a new offensive leader.

As one of three quarterbacks predicted to be selected within the top ten, Herbert and the Ducks, who are the NCAA football odds on favorite in the Pac12 rankings, are gambling on a successful season.   

Author: Rick Serritella

Established in 2002, NFL Draft Bible Founder Ric Serritella began his independent scouting service as a publication used by all 32 NFL teams. Eventually, it would evolve into an online scouting resource that reaches millions of people each month. An early adaptor to technology, the NFL Draft Bible produced the first ever livestream video show and live podcast on location from the NFL Draft. The NFL Draft Bible network extends to professional football leagues all over the world and includes general managers, executives, scouts, coaches, agents, trainers, advisors, along with other media outlets and draftniks. In addition to owning the NFL Draft Bible, Serritella has also served as executive producer of the T.Ocho Show (2010) on NBC Sports, producer for The Mike & The Mad Dog Show (2002) on YES Network, producer for NFL Now with Mike Francesa, one of the only nationally syndicated NFL shows at that time (2003), producer on ESPN Hollywoood (2005) and helped start up the Wall Street Journal YouTube channel (2007). He has interviewed the likes of Donald Trump, Roger Goodell, Archie Manning, Shaquille O'Neal, Allen Iverson, Danica Patrick, Venus Williams, Howard Stern, Don King, Jay-Z, Madonna, Bon Jovi and hundreds of other celebrities/athletes. Other involvements include helping build the fiber-optic system for MLB Network during his time as manager at HTN Communications, writing for USA TODAY, working for CBS and AEG Live. Since 2015, he has served as the Director of Media for the Parabolic Performance NFL Draft Prep program. In 2017, Serritella served as the Director of Player Personnel for the College Gridiron Showcase & Symposium. A graduate of Johnson & Wales University (JWU) in Providence, RI, Serritella earned a B.A. in Sports Entertainment & Event Management and was honored with the Inaugural Sports Entertainment & Event Management Success Board Achievement Award by the school in 2009. While attending JWU, he interned for the New England Patriots and ESPN X-Games. A proud member of the Pro Football Writers of America and the Football Writers Association of America, Serritella currently resides in his home state of New Jersey.

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